Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.423436 0.497931 0.579758 0.676049 0.785984 0.907300 1.051018
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.310049 0.408932 0.528372 0.682100 0.873418 1.102289 1.395264
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.236613 0.345008 0.487101 0.684290 0.947686 1.283855 1.741202
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.189655 0.302156 0.460522 0.694877 1.026996 1.474008 2.112811
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.153565 0.265403 0.433352 0.696533 1.089329 1.642793 2.467509
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.120683 0.225802 0.393806 0.671744 1.107096 1.746916 2.737253
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.104964 0.210292 0.387805 0.695151 1.196205 1.958390 3.174990
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.091176 0.195057 0.379185 0.711877 1.274702 2.158296 3.608643
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.083794 0.189950 0.386581 0.755190 1.398797 2.436543 4.180331
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.071295 0.172276 0.368544 0.751398 1.442841 2.589689 4.564918
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.060114 0.154876 0.348080 0.739961 1.471308 2.717811 4.915870
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.051280 0.140609 0.331306 0.732727 1.505358 2.856086 5.290505
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.045474 0.132279 0.325769 0.747355 1.582175 3.075846 5.821744
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.039881 0.123242 0.317377 0.755249 1.647138 3.279827 6.340151
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034730 0.114106 0.307261 0.758130 1.702335 3.469806 6.845797
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.030861 0.107466 0.301730 0.769891 1.775715 3.697397 7.431474
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026965 0.099749 0.292330 0.771771 1.828807 3.890174 7.964894
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022238 0.088211 0.271444 0.744685 1.818697 3.961477 8.278146
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020492 0.085613 0.273055 0.770296 1.922636 4.259648 9.031766
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018631 0.082132 0.271732 0.788588 2.011981 4.534268 9.754988
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017982 0.082735 0.281739 0.835925 2.169438 4.954033 10.778273
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015684 0.076667 0.271849 0.831783 2.210169 5.139450 11.354858
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013457 0.070131 0.259384 0.819286 2.230250 5.283067 11.855872